Will Bernie Sanders Win Delaware? Even A Victory Wouldn't Add Much Momentum
April 26 is a big day for little primaries. Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island voters all head to the polls that day. While nothing is certain until the votes are tallies, it's looking like April 26 will be a better day for Hillary Clinton than Bernie Sanders. Still, will Sanders get a win in Delaware?
Unfortunately for the Vermont senator, that answer is leaning towards "no." That being said, there is definitely some wiggle room for Sanders to snag a victory in the First State.
The latest polls from Delaware show Bernie Sanders trailing 38 percent to 45 percent (with 17 percent remain undecided). However, Delaware will award just 21 Democratic delegates. Thus, even if Sanders pulls off a win at the polls, this would not be the victory he needs to catch up to Clinton. Delaware delegates will be awarded proportionally, so a win would have even less of an impact on Sanders' lagging delegate count. Like many of the states holding primaries on April 26, Delaware will likely help Clinton extend her lead in a modest way — and even if Sanders gets an unexpected win, it probably will not provide any of the momentum Sanders is now so hard-pressed to find.
Clinton currently holds 1,446 of the delegates needed to win the Democratic nomination; Sanders has 1,202. Superdelegates continue to be a large bummer for Sanders – 518 side with the former Secretary of State, while the Vermont senator holds just 38.
Celebrity billionaire Donald Trump is widely expected to win the Delaware primary on the GOP side, also consistent with the overall expectations for the series of states holding primaries on April 26.
Although Delaware is a small state with a small impact, neither Sanders nor Clinton is brushing over it. As James Fisher wrote for The News Journal in Wilmington:
The Clinton and Sanders campaigns are both giving significant attention to upstate Delaware voters in the final days before the primary. Former Philadelphia mayor Michael Nutter knocked doors for Clinton in Wilmington, and the founders of Ben & Jerry's Ice Cream campaigned for Sanders. It's uncommon for Delaware voters to experience that kind of retail campaigning by surrogates, but this year, the Delaware primary comes when neither party's contest is truly settled.
None of this will really be crucial for Sanders in terms of getting him the near-impossible more than 72 percent of delegates he now needs to win. But if he loses, it can still hurt his campaign. It would only compound his big loss in New York. Sanders needs momentum, and Delaware (and April 26 as a whole) is looking like it's not going to give it to him, either in delegates or in positive media attention. His >campaign manager Jeff Weaver has in the promised land of California, but that's beyond wishful thinking — Hillary Clinton is expected to clean up there, too.