Will Ted Cruz Win Delaware? The Texas Senator Is Unlikely To Come In First In the First State
With 16 delegates at stake in the First State, one of the big questions is what Republican will walk away with the win. So, will Ted Cruz win Delaware? Despite some tenuous ties to the state, it is highly unlikely that the Texan senator will be able to make a win happen. Cruz's mom is a native of Wilmington, Delaware, but that connection with the state doesn't look like it is doing him any favors. Polling out of the state is incredibly sparse — only one publicly available poll about the primary has been commissioned this election cycle. Gravis Marketing asked likely GOP voters — 1,038 of them — who they were planning on supporting come primary day, and there was definitely a clear winner: Trump. The former reality-TV show host is supported by 55 percent of the poll's respondents.
Ohio Governor John Kasich comes in second place with Delaware voters, garnering the support of 18 percent of respondents. Cruz comes in third, with 15 percent of the vote.
Now, there is still a fair amount of undecided voters — 12 percent of the respondents, according to this poll. That would indicate that there is definitely a possibility that Cruz could end up edging out Kasich when all is said and done.
Gravis reports that the margin of error for this specific poll is plus or minus 3 percent. So, for all intents and purposes, Kasich and Cruz are tied. That still leaves Trump, and it is highly unlikely that Cruz would be able to overcome a 40 point deficit so late in the game.
So, everything else equal, it is highly likely that "Tiny Hands" Trump will prevail on Tuesday in the First State, adding yet another win to his column. Trump's likely victory in the state will only serve to bolster his already rowdy crowd of supporters into supporting an actual no-holds barred fight to clinch the GOP nomination come the convention this summer in Cleveland.
Cruz and his faction of GOP supporters (small as it is) will find themselves in the increasingly untenable position of standing between a democratically-elected demagogue and the nomination. This isn't necessarily the strongest negotiating position, admittedly. But at this point, there is precious little that Cruz can realistically do to boost his profile with Delaware voters before Election Day arrives. The only real question on the table is whether or not Cruz will be able to clinch second place from Kasich, or if Delaware voters chose trust the Ohio governor more than the Texan senator.