How Donald Trump’s Campaign Is Doomed According To These Telling Numbers
Donald Trump's campaign isn't in good shape, and hasn't been in quite some time. On the one hand, this is self-evident: If Republicans were to design a candidate in a lab with the intent of losing the 2016 election, they couldn't do much better than The Donald. But this isn't just one pundit's subjective judgement of the race. To a degree, the state of the race can be quantified by all of these numbers that show Trump's campaign is doomed.
It's always hazardous for journalists to assess the state of a campaign based on how they personally feel about the race. Peggy Noonan discovered this in 2012, when she predicted a Mitt Romney victory days before the election because "all of the vibrations are right," and "the Republicans have the passion now." Those were just subjective opinions, and as just about everybody in the media learned during this cycle, they're apt to be very, very wrong.
But you can't argue with the numbers. It's impossible to predict the outcome of this election with any certainty, but by just about every available metric, Trump is on the path to a crushing defeat in November. Here's a look at Trump's failing campaign by the numbers that matter most.
+5.8 percent: Clinton's average lead over Trump in general election polls (at time of writing), according to RealClearPolitics.
$100,000: Amount of money the Trump campaign sought to raise in a single day, as it explained in a fundraising email to supporters this week. The mere fact that Trump sent a fundraising email both undercuts his claims to be self-funding his campaign and casts doubt on his total net worth. If Trump is truly worth $10 billion, why not loan his campaign $100,000?
55 percent: Share of Americans who will never vote for Trump, according to a Bloomberg poll from June 2016.
3: Number of previous Republican presidential candidates who've refused to endorse Trump. Mitt Romney, George H.W Bush, and George W. Bush have all declined to support the presumptive 2016 nominee. Only Bob Dole and John McCain have thrown their weight behind the Donald.
$0: The amount of money the Trump campaign spent running advertisements in swing states during the month of June. Hillary Clinton, by contrast, spent over $23 million in swing state ads over the same month.
-27 percent: Trump's net favorability rating, on average, according to RealClearPolitics.
253: Total number of electoral votes Clinton is expected to win in November, according to aggregates and averages from four different elections forecasters.
62 percent: Share of Americans who think that Trump doesn't have the temperament to serve effectively as president, according to a Fox News poll from June. Only 38 percent of respondents said that Clinton lacked presidential temperament.
0: Total number of times that any of the last three Republican presidential candidates, during their own elections, polled as low as Trump is polling now in terms of favorability.
600,000: Approximate number of visits that Trump's website received in May. Clinton's campaign site attracted almost 3 million visitors during the same month.
Whatever your political views, these numbers don't lie and they give a glimpse into Trump's failing campaign over the past few months.