2015 MTV Movie Award Nominations — Who Will Win In Each Category Based On Box Office Success

Award season is technically over, but there are some award shows aiming to recognize 2014 films that have yet to have their day in the Hollywood sun. The MTV Movie Awards announced their nominees in categories ranging from Movie of the Year to Best Scared-As-S**t Performance for the April 12 ceremony. The award show nominees overlap somewhat with those nominated at the Golden Globes and Academy Awards (Boyhood, Whiplash, Selma). But, you'll never see The Boy Next Door, Kate Upton, or Horrible Bosses 2 nominated for an award outside of the MTV Movie Awards.  

The show has already snagged a host for the big day. Amy Schumer will follow in the footsteps of Rebel Wilson and Russell Brand as she takes the stage to adorn celebrities in gold-encrused popcorn statues. Ansel Elgort and Seth Rogen are tied for the most nods, ironically both appearing in the Best Shirtless Performance and Best Kiss categories — sadly not for kissing eachother. 

And while The Academy Awards are often easy to predict, The MTV Movie Awards have been known to throw a few curveballs. It's an award show created for a younger generation, a generation that appreciates evaluating cinema on WTF moments and shirtless performances (which earned a female nominee this year). So when looking at the odds for any particular contender, it's best to look to those choosing the winners — the fans. And while fan bases can be measured somewhat in Tumblr accounts and instagram likes, a more accurate guestimation can be achieved by considering box office success. Here's who will win at the MTV Movie awards, based on who made the most money (lifetime gross) at the domestic box office. 

Movie of the Year

American Sniper — $331,304,919

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 —$336,736,926 

Guardians of the Galaxy — $333,176,600

Gone Girl — $167,767,189

The Fault In Our Stars — $124,872,350

Boyhood — $25,359,200

Whiplash — $12,265,000

Selma — $50,438,320

Best Female Performance

Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 — $336,736,926

Emma Stone, Birdman — $40,379,580

Shailene Woodley, The Fault In Our Stars — $124,872,350

Reese Witherspoon, Wild — $37,475,289

Scarlett Johansson, Lucy — $126,663,600

Best Male Performance

Bradley Cooper, American Sniper — $331,304,919

Chris Pratt, Guardians of the Galaxy — $333,176,600

Ansel Elgort, The Fault In Our Stars — $124,872,350

Miles Teller, Whiplash — $12,265,000

Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher — $12,059,600

Best Scared-As-S**t Performance

Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl — $167,767,189

Annabelle Wallis, Annabelle — $84,273,813

Jennifer Lopez, The Boy Next Door — $35,261,365

Dylan O’Brien, The Maze Runner — $102,427,862

Zach Gilford, The Purge: Anarchy — $71,962,800

Breakthrough Performance

Ansel Elgort, The Fault In Our Stars — $124,872,350

Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl — $167,767,189

David Oyelowo, Selma — $50,438,320

Dylan O’Brien, The Maze Runner — $102,427,862

Ellar Coltrane, Boyhood — $25,359,200

Best Shirtless Performance

Zac Efron, Neighbors —$150,157,400

Chris Pratt, Guardians of the Galaxy — $333,176,600

Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher — $12,059,600

Ansel Elgort, The Fault In Our Stars — $124,872,350

Kate Upton, The Other Woman — $83,911,193

Best Duo

Channing Tatum & Jonah Hill, 22 Jump Street — $191,719,337

Zac Efron & Dave Franco, Neighbors —$150,157,400

Shailene Woodley & Ansel Elgort, The Fault In Our Stars — $124,872,350

Bradley Cooper & Vin Diesel, Guardians of the Galaxy — $333,176,600

James Franco & Seth Rogen, The Interview — $6,105,175

Best Fight

Jonah Hill vs. Jillian Bell, 22 Jump Street — $191,719,337

-Chris Evans vs. Sebastian Stan, Captain America: The Winter Soldier — $259,766,572

-Dylan O’Brien vs. Will Poulter, The Maze Runner — $102,427,862

-Seth Rogen vs. Zac Efron, Neighbors —$150,157,400

-Edward Norton vs. Michael Keaton, Birdman — $40,379,580

Best Kiss

Ansel Elgort & Shailene Woodley, The Fault In Our Stars — $124,872,350

James Franco & Seth Rogen, The Interview — $6,105,175

Andrew Garfield & Emma Stone, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 — $202,853,933

Scarlett Johansson & Chris Evans, Captain America: The Winter Soldier — $259,766,572

-Rose Byrne & Halston Sage, Neighbors —$150,157,400

Best WTF Moment

Seth Rogen & Rose Byrne, Neighbors —$150,157,400

Jonah Hill, 22 Jump Street — $191,719,337

Jason Sudeikis & Charlie Day, Horrible Bosses 2 —  $54,445,357

Miles Teller, Whiplash — $12,265,000

Rosario Dawson & Anders Holm, Top Five — $25,317,291

Best Villain

Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl — $167,767,189

J.K. Simmons, Whiplash — $12,265,000

-Jillian Bell, 22 Jump Street — $191,719,337

-Meryl Streep, Into the Woods — $126,969,892

-Peter Dinklage, X-Men: Days of Future Past — $233,921,534

Best Musical Moment

Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 — $336,736,926

Chris Pratt, Guardians of the Galaxy — $333,176,600

Seth Rogen & Zac Efron, Neighbors —$150,157,400

Bill Hader & Kristen Wiig, The Skeleton Twins — $5,284,309

Miles Teller, Whiplash — $12,265,000

Best Comedic Performance

Channing Tatum, 22 Jump Street — $191,719,337

Chris Pratt, Guardians of the Galaxy — $333,176,600

Rose Byrne, Neighbors —$150,157,400

Chris Rock, Top Five — $25,317,291

Kevin Hart, The Wedding Ringer — $63,037,563

Best On-Screen Transformation

Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything — $35,086,183

Elizabeth Banks, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 — $336,736,926

Zoe Saldana, Guardians of the Galaxy — $333,176,600

Steve Carell, Foxcatcher — $12,059,600

Ellar Coltrane,  Boyhood — $25,359,200

Images: Lionsgate; Tumblr

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