What Comes After Oregon & Kentucky? Bernie Sanders Sure Isn't Giving Up
Oregon held its Republican and Democratic primaries on May 17, with Kentucky holding its Democratic primary as well. There's not really anything left to decide on the Republican end, with Trump as the almost-definite nominee and last candidate officially running on the right. The race is more interesting on the Democratic side, where Sen. Bernie Sanders is not giving up his struggle to overcome Sec. Hillary Clinton's delegate gap in the home stretch of the primary race. And he'll have the opportunity to do so. Which primaries are left after Oregon and Kentucky?
The Republican race may not be exciting at this point, but it's still happening, and six more states will hold primaries. Ballotpedia reported that Washington will hold its "contest" on May 24; California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota will finish the primaries off on June 7. These states have a total of 347 delegates up for grabs, and Trump needs fewer than 150 for the nomination.
As for the Democrats, things will be a bit busier. The Virgin Island hold their contest on June 4, followed by Puerto Rico on June 5, Ballotedia reported. California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Dakota, and South Dakota go to the polls on June 7, and Washington, D.C. wraps it all up on June 14. In all, these states pack 781 delegates. June 7 will likely prove decisive for the Democratic contenders, with 694 of the remaining delegates at stake.
Sanders has cited the massive amount of delegates available on June 7 as a reason for maintaining hope, despite his persistent second-place position throughout the race. The Vermont senator has been honest about the fact that his path to nomination is narrow, but points specifically to the fact that California in particular has a huge (or yuuuuge) number of pledged delegates at stake: 475.
The polls coming out of California have not painted the prettiest of pictures for Sanders; Real Clear Politics' poll average puts Sanders nearly 10 percent behind Clinton in the state. However, no new polls have been conducted in May; a lot can change in a race and on the campaign trail in a month, so April's figures probably aren't very solid predictive tools.
We have an idea of how the race is going to wrap up after Oregon and Kentucky, but there are still contests to come, with June 7 being the most crucial day of voting in the remainder of the 2016 primary season.