Will Kelly Ayotte Beat Maggie Hassan In New Hampshire? This Senate Seat Is An Important Factor In The Election
If you want a tight race, go to New Hampshire. Polls regarding the Senate race keep coming out, but it's still impossible to get a good read on whether Kelly Ayotte will beat Maggie Hassan. The latest poll from WBZ-UMass showed Republican incumbent senator Ayotte with a four-point lead over Democratic challenger and current New Hampshire governor Maggie Hassan, but that's far from a decisive victory, given the 4.5-percent margin of error.
The polling in the New Hampshire Senate race has offered nothing concrete up to this point, with each favorable poll for one candidate closely followed by another that favors the opposing candidate. Ayotte has taken some heat for her continued support of Donald Trump, particularly after she said that he would be a good role model for children. She rescinded her full support after the video of Trump bragging about sexually assaulting women, but Hassan — and her surrogates, including Elizabeth Warren and Hillary Clinton — have used Ayotte's backing of Trump as a prime means of attacking her. This hasn't appeared to have hugely affected the race, though. Since that video surfaced, there have been two polls pointing to an Ayotte victory, two tied polls, and one pointing to a Hassan victory.
Not even the poll aggregators agree on who will win this hard-fought race. Real Clear Politics pointed to a very slim Hassan victory, whereas the HuffPost Pollster called for an even slimmer Ayotte victory. The New York Times' Upshot showed that Hassan has a 69 percent chance of winning the seat, which is by far the most skewed prediction on either side.
This is an especially important race on both sides, as the Democrats need to gain five seats in order to flip the Senate to their control. While Ayotte's numbers were looking better for her in the summer, the Democrats now view the New Hampshire seat as one of the more vulnerable Republican Senate seats. The fact that Warren and Clinton have begun appearing at events with Hassan is a good indication that a lot of Democratic effort and money is now going into the drive to take down Ayotte.
Overall, Hassan and her party are probably pleased with how things have gone so far. Ayotte's chances of winning were much higher over the summer, and now the seat is caught in one of the tightest races of the election. Only one thing is clear: The winner will only be decided on Nov. 8, or potentially later if the race ends up being as close as predicted.